Mendez, who has voted Democratic every year since 1988, had driven 45 minutes to hunt for bargains. Mendez, 66, stands with his wife Maria, 63, next to a shopping cart filled with rice, pinto beans, tacos and kitchen roll. In the Maryvale district of Phoenix, retiree Jose L. Republicans see the state, which is 32% Latino, as a top pick-up opportunity in their bid to regain control of the Senate. Senator Mark Kelly is facing a tough re-election in Arizona, where Biden won by just over 10,000 votes and Kelly by just 2.4 percentage points in 2020. 'I'M WILLING TO CHANGE MY VOTE'ĭemocratic U.S. In the American Midwest and West, a majority are of Mexican origin, have traditionally tended to vote Democrat, and live in swing states, including Arizona. In Florida for example, many are Cuban-Americans who tilt more conservative. Hispanic voters are a large and diverse segment of the electorate and are not uniform in how they vote.
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While Biden won 61% of Latino voters in the 2020 presidential election, there was an 8% percent swing toward his Republican opponent, Donald Trump, Democratic polling firm Catalist found in 2021. That could be a further sign of what pollsters say is a long-term erosion of support for Democrats among Latinos. A Quinnipiac University poll published on April 13 found that just 26% of Hispanic voters approved of Biden's job performance, the lowest mark of any demographic. Inflation is now the top worry among Hispanic voters, according to an Axios-Ipsos poll released in March. Many said they don't necessarily blame Democrats but have lost faith in their ability to solve inflation and are increasingly willing to let Republicans try.Įven a small loss of support among Hispanics - a key component of the Democratic coalition of voters that brought President Joe Biden to power - could mean the loss of the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate for Democrats.įour of the top 15 congressional targets for Republicans are races with heavy Mexican-American populations, according to Mike Madrid, a Republican strategist based in California. The majority of those said they usually vote Democrat. Of 35 Hispanic voters Reuters spoke to in two toss-up races in Arizona and Colorado, 20 - including Aguirre - said soaring inflation is causing them to seriously consider voting for Republicans.
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Republicans, he believes, are generally better economic stewards who could have more success in reducing prices.Īguirre runs Tamales y Tacos Puebla from the heavily Hispanic Alhambra neighborhood in Phoenix, where talk of record-high gas and food prices was dominating conversations in front gardens, stores and restaurants when Reuters visited. "If the Republican Party has something better to offer us, I will vote Republican," said Aguirre.